tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:04 BOI → 07:34 SMF
    AS 2156 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:23 SMF → 12:22 SEA
    AS 1468 · Alaska · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 18mBOI 07:04 to SEA 12:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.