tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → San Diego via Sacramento: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:04 BOI → 07:34 SMF
    AS 2156 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:36 SMF → 10:20 SAN
    AS 3015 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 16mBOI 07:04 to SAN 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.