tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:00 BOI → 10:34 SEA
    AS 2166 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:51 SEA → 17:19 MSP
    AS 509 · Alaska · 3h 28m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 19mBOI 10:00 to MSP 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.