tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Seattle via San Diego: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:04 MSO → 15:56 SAN
    AS 2169 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 52m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 31mMSO 14:04 to SEA 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.