tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Portland via San Diego: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:04 SAN
    AS 2174 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 04m · 91% on time, 15.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:04 SAN → 13:43 PDX
    AS 576 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 43mSBA 06:00 to PDX 13:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.