tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:04 SAN
    AS 2174 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 04m · 91% on time, 15.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 SAN → 12:53 SMF
    AS 3439 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 74% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 53mSBA 06:00 to SMF 12:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.