tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Francisco via San Diego: arrives on time 48%

  1. 06:00 SBA → 07:04 SAN
    AS 2174 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 04m · 91% on time, 15.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:04 SAN → 09:52 SFO
    AS 3463 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 63% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip3h 52mSBA 06:00 to SFO 09:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.