tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via San Diego: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:42 SBA → 14:47 SAN
    AS 2176 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 SAN → 21:35 SEA
    AS 1431 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 53mSBA 13:42 to SEA 21:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.