tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via San Diego: arrives on time 69%

  1. 13:42 SBA → 14:47 SAN
    AS 2176 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:23 SAN → 23:36 ORD
    AS 1493 · Alaska · 4h 13m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 54mSBA 13:42 to ORD 23:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.