tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:42 SBA → 14:47 SAN
    AS 2176 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 05m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:56 SAN → 18:38 SMF
    AS 2334 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 42m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 56mSBA 13:42 to SMF 18:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.