tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Las Vegas via Portland: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PDX → 13:11 LAS
    AS 757 · Alaska · 2h 26m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 37mSBA 07:34 to LAS 13:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.