tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:03 PDX → 13:03 SEA
    AS 3078 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 29mSBA 07:34 to SEA 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.