tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 PDX → 11:43 SEA
    AS 3431 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 09mSBA 07:34 to SEA 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.