tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:23 PDX → 13:34 SEA
    DL 3802 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 00mSBA 07:34 to SEA 13:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.