tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Denver via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:50 PDX → 16:28 DEN
    UA 1411 · United · 2h 38m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 54mSBA 07:34 to DEN 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.