tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:34 SBA → 09:45 PDX
    AS 2178 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 PDX → 14:10 OAK
    WN 4928 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 36mSBA 07:34 to OAK 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.