tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → San Diego via Portland: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:03 SJC → 13:48 PDX
    AS 2188 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 PDX → 17:29 SAN
    AS 1312 · Alaska · 2h 34m · 76% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 26mSJC 12:03 to SAN 17:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.