tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:03 SJC → 13:48 PDX
    AS 2188 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 16mSJC 12:03 to SNA 17:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.