tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

El Paso → Atlanta via Seattle: arrives on time 52%

  1. 19:16 ELP → 21:59 SEA
    AS 2191 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 43m · 54% on time, 13.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:31 SEA → 07:24 ATL +1 day
    AS 464 · Alaska · 4h 53m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of El Paso). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (13.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 08mELP 19:16 to ATL 07:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.