tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

El Paso → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:16 ELP → 21:59 SEA
    AS 2191 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 43m · 54% on time, 13.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:03 SEA → 05:02 DFW +1 day
    AS 542 · Alaska · 3h 59m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of El Paso). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (13.5% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 46mELP 19:16 to DFW 05:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.