tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kailua/Kona via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 13:48 PDX → 14:43 SEA
    AS 2205 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 SEA → 19:05 KOA
    AS 238 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 17mPDX 13:48 to KOA 19:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.