tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 13:48 PDX → 14:43 SEA
    AS 2205 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:07 SEA → 18:54 RNO
    AS 598 · Alaska · 1h 47m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 06mPDX 13:48 to RNO 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.