tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → St Louis via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 13:48 PDX → 14:43 SEA
    AS 2205 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 SEA → 23:59 STL
    AS 615 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 11mPDX 13:48 to STL 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.