tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Minneapolis via San Diego: arrives on time 93%

  1. 07:48 RNO → 09:25 SAN
    AS 2234 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 37m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:53 SAN → 17:40 MSP
    DL 2121 · Delta · 3h 47m · 94% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 52mRNO 07:48 to MSP 17:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.