tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Boston via San Diego: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:19 LAS → 19:36 SAN
    AS 2251 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 17m · 24% on time, 9.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:52 SAN → 05:40 BOS +1 day
    AS 255 · Alaska · 5h 48m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (9.8% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 21mLAS 18:19 to BOS 05:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.