tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Rosa via San Diego: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:19 LAS → 19:36 SAN
    AS 2251 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 17m · 24% on time, 9.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:03 SAN → 22:58 STS
    AS 3302 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (9.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 39mLAS 18:19 to STS 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.