tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Boise via San Diego: arrives on time 51%

  1. 07:59 LAS → 09:15 SAN
    AS 2253 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 16m · 44% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 SAN → 13:46 BOI
    AS 2341 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 47mLAS 07:59 to BOI 13:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.