tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Minneapolis via Portland: arrives on time 90%

  1. 09:46 SJC → 11:31 PDX
    AS 2256 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 45m · 96% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 PDX → 20:27 MSP
    DL 1661 · Delta · 3h 27m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 41mSJC 09:46 to MSP 20:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.