tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 82%

  1. 17:56 STS → 19:35 SAN
    AS 2257 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 39m · 42% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 SAN → 00:12 LAS +1 day
    WN 3510 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 100% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip6h 16mSTS 17:56 to LAS 00:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.