tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:40 GEG → 12:50 SEA
    AS 2262 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 10m · 92% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:38 SEA → 19:00 MSP
    AS 527 · Alaska · 3h 22m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Spokane). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 20mGEG 11:40 to MSP 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.