tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Phoenix via Santa Ana: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:57 PAE → 10:48 SNA
    AS 2270 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:27 SNA → 15:53 PHX
    F9 1720 · Frontier · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 56mPAE 07:57 to PHX 15:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.