tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Las Vegas via Santa Ana: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:57 PAE → 10:48 SNA
    AS 2270 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:00 SNA → 15:20 LAS
    WN 2274 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 23mPAE 07:57 to LAS 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.