tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:44 PAE → 12:33 LAX
    AS 2278 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 49m · 93% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:11 LAX → 15:11 SAN
    DL 4001 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 27mPAE 09:44 to SAN 15:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.