tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:44 PAE → 12:33 LAX
    AS 2278 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 49m · 93% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:14 LAX → 17:42 SFO
    UA 2019 · United · 1h 28m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 58mPAE 09:44 to SFO 17:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.