tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 9%

  1. 14:38 LAS → 15:57 SAN
    AS 2282 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 19m · 32% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 SAN → 18:11 PHX
    AS 3061 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 57% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection16%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 84% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (16%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 33mLAS 14:38 to PHX 18:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.