tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Dulles via San Diego: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:49 OAK → 08:25 SAN
    AS 2288 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 36m · 96% on time, 7.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:34 SAN → 18:45 IAD
    AS 506 · Alaska · 5h 11m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (7.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 56mOAK 06:49 to IAD 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.