tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → New York via Portland: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:52 OAK → 09:29 PDX
    AS 2298 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 37m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 PDX → 19:23 JFK
    AS 18 · Alaska · 5h 36m · 84% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 31mOAK 07:52 to JFK 19:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.