tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Fairbanks via Portland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 17:59 SEA → 18:56 PDX
    AS 2302 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 PDX → 00:55 FAI +1 day
    AS 1521 · Alaska · 3h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 56mSEA 17:59 to FAI 00:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.