tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 74%

  1. 17:59 SEA → 18:56 PDX
    AS 2302 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 PDX → 22:30 SNA
    AS 518 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip4h 31mSEA 17:59 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.