tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:59 SEA → 18:56 PDX
    AS 2302 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 PDX → 21:41 OAK
    AS 2036 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 47m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip3h 42mSEA 17:59 to OAK 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.