tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 19:38 PDX → 20:33 SEA
    AS 2313 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 00mPDX 19:38 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.