tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Orlando via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:38 PDX → 20:33 SEA
    AS 2313 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO +1 day
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 38mPDX 19:38 to MCO 06:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.