tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 21%

  1. 16:14 SAN → 17:49 SFO
    AS 2314 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 35m · 28% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:46 SFO → 20:31 PDX
    AS 525 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 17mSAN 16:14 to PDX 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.