tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Santa Barbara via San Francisco: arrives on time 72%

  1. 16:14 SAN → 17:49 SFO
    AS 2314 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 35m · 28% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:23 SFO → 22:45 SBA
    UA 2866 · United · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 31mSAN 16:14 to SBA 22:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.