tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tampa via San Francisco: arrives on time 86%

  1. 16:14 SAN → 17:49 SFO
    AS 2314 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 35m · 28% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:13 SFO → 05:38 TPA +1 day
    UA 649 · United · 5h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 24mSAN 16:14 to TPA 05:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.