tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:39 SBA → 16:49 PDX
    AS 2318 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 PDX → 19:37 SMF
    AS 1622 · Alaska · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 58mSBA 14:39 to SMF 19:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.