tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Denver via Portland: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:39 SBA → 16:49 PDX
    AS 2318 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 PDX → 21:40 DEN
    AS 1627 · Alaska · 2h 36m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 01mSBA 14:39 to DEN 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.