tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 12%

  1. 16:34 MFR → 18:35 LAX
    AS 2329 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 01m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:34 LAX → 20:57 SFO
    AS 1601 · Alaska · 1h 23m · 15% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (15%).
Total trip4h 23mMFR 16:34 to SFO 20:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.