tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Los Angeles via Portland: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:03 STS → 20:36 PDX
    AS 2331 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 33m · 51% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 PDX → 23:56 LAX
    AS 1389 · Alaska · 2h 29m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 53mSTS 19:03 to LAX 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.