tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Portland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 19:17 SMF → 20:50 PDX
    AS 2335 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 33m · 67% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 00:33 PDX → 05:49 MSP +1 day
    DL 2359 · Delta · 3h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 32mSMF 19:17 to MSP 05:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.